Step 5 – I’ll just shift goods to the right as an easy way to get them in a different spot. Since there are 5 spots to fill and only 4 goods, you know that at least one good will be repeated. Pick one at random. I’ll usually pick coins or supplies.

Step 6 – Here are the results. So now we use what we learned and see where that gets us.

Step 7 – Since coins are still yellow, we need to figure out where they go. That’s obviously in spot 1 because we’ve tried it in every other spot. So fill that in. In spot 5, we’ve tried everything except supplies, so fill that in. Unfortunately because we got unlucky after step 1, we don’t have certainty at this stage so we have to make some guesses. We know that ropes need to go in spot 2 or 3. Since we’ve already used 2 goods in spot 2, there’s a 1 in 2 chance that ropes are the correct choice. In spot 3, we’ve used only 1 good so there’s a 1 in 3 chance that ropes are the correct choice. Since there’s better odds in spot 2, we put ropes there. We use the same argument for the herbs in spots 3 and 4. Better odds in spot 4, so we put herbs there. Now we have to figure out spot 3. At this point, it’s a blind guess. I’ll pick supplies because since I don’t have certainty, I might as well minimize my potential losses. I’d rather risk coins and supplies than goods.

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